Trump should, by historical precedent, be looking at a thumping defeat in the 2020 presidential election. But political scientists and strategists have told the Guardian that he could be thrown a re-election lifeline thanks to the countryís quirky approach to democracy in the form of the electoral college.
The political analyst Larry Sabato has calculated that the 3 November election could see Trump being outgunned by his Democratic challenger in the popular vote ñ the total number of votes cast nationwide ñ by twice the amount that Hillary Clinton surpassed him in 2016, yet still return to the White House for a second term.
SABATO’S 2016 CRYSTAL BALL
Our Final 2016 picks
Clinton 322, Trump 216; 50-50 Senate; GOP holds House